Re: Ok, this one piece of software is probably flawed
Re: Re: Ok, this one piece of software is probably flawed -- 13 Top of thread Post Reply Forum
Posted by:
eDrek ®

05/13/2020, 10:58:19
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Let's not overlook that the code review paper comes from a website titled lockdownsceptics.org. Clearly, they have an agenda and I'm not surprised that Pat would recommend it. And I'm sure there are a number of flat earth websites with all sorts of papers and proof, but really?

And I did not care for the writer's suggestion that this kind of modelling be defunded at universities and should be done by insurance companies who always have their customers in mind (right!) Insurance companies do have professional programs that are run by actuary bean counters who decide how much money a 'life' is worth. It's a dirty job, but someone's got to do it.

And yes the models were wrong with their large exponential increase in cases and deaths. Well, that's because people were afraid and people did stay home. Basically, the actions of people flattened the curve.

The problem with people wanting to resume normal life should be expected since most people don't have the ability to stay home without money and/or people don't have the dedicated discipline to do that.

Keep in mind that the Spanish Flu pandemic of 1918 lasted two years. Even if a successful vaccine is found tomorrow it will take months and months to produce 7 billion +/- doses to end the virus. And then the virus may mutate and the vaccine doesn't work until it is revved again.

Bottom line: We're in big trouble.






Modified by eDrek at Wed, May 13, 2020, 11:00:22

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